Week 8 Recap
Week 8 was a high scoring affair in the KFL with 9 teams generating a win probability of 0.59 or higher based on scoring. The Kraken handled the Slugs by putting up 111. Meanwhile the Bluecats had a bounce back week putting up 98 against the Glum division leaders, the Onionheads. Speaking of the Glum Division, the Titan’s got a bad beat losing in a game where they put up 94 against the Death Monarchs. The Death Monarchs were lead by stud of the week Christain McCaffery and see new life as they improve to 3-5. Speaking of new life, the Tenderloins, once the bottom of the league, are surging with a 121-71 win over the slumping LGTE. The “UN” Lucky Ducks continue to stay hot beating up on the sad excuse for a franchise that is the GMO’s. Finally, another great shootout saw the Sunday Winners top the Diamond Dogs 118-108. The Diamond Dogs will feel particularly stung by that result as it sees them go to the bottom of the Indiana division standings.
Week 8 2022 matchups | |||||||
Winning Team | Win Probability | Score | Score | Win Probability | Losing Team | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alex's Kraken | ![]() |
0.89 | 111 | 76 | 0.34 | Jeffs Slugs | |
Sam’s Bluecats | 0.75 | 98 | 74 | 0.30 | ![]() |
Ruwes Onionheads | |
Cincinnati Death Monarchs | 0.96 | 124 | 94 | 0.68 | ![]() |
Scott's TITANS | |
Kurt's The Tenderloins | ![]() |
0.95 | 121 | 71 | 0.26 | ![]() |
Elliot's Last Good Tight End |
Nick's Unlucky Ducks | ![]() |
0.59 | 89 | 59 | 0.12 | ![]() |
Michael's GMOs |
Joe Sunderman's Sunday Winners | ![]() |
0.94 | 118 | 108 | 0.87 | ![]() |
Diamond Dogs |
Expected Wins power rankings through week 8 2022
The Onionheads stay atop our leader board in expected wins almost hitting the 5 xW mark. We have a new second place team in the Death Monarchs suggesting they are likely to close the 2 game gap in their division and compete as we head down the stretch. We are then followed up by the Kraken and “Un” Lucky Ducks who remain the luckiest team in the league with 2.84 wins over expectation. The middle cluster has LGTE and Sunday Winner’s followed by the Titans,Slugs, and Bluecats all with 3.5 to 4 expected wins. To round out our standings the bottom of the barrel continues to be the Diamond Dogs, Tenderloins, and GMOs with the Tenderloins finally getting out of last place and improving to 2.4 expected wins while the GMO now sit at the very bottom with a measly 1.86 expected wins on the season.
Expected Wins through Week 8 | |||
Team Name | Expected Wins | Wins Over Expected | |
---|---|---|---|
Ruwes Onionheads | ![]() |
4.97 | 1.03 |
Cincinnati Death Monarchs | 4.64 | -1.64 | |
Alex's Kraken | ![]() |
4.22 | 1.78 |
Nick's Unlucky Ducks | ![]() |
4.16 | 2.84 |
Elliot's Last Good Tight End | ![]() |
3.98 | 0.02 |
Joe Sunderman's Sunday Winners | ![]() |
3.84 | -0.84 |
Scott's TITANS | ![]() |
3.83 | -0.83 |
Jeffs Slugs | 3.70 | 0.30 | |
Sam’s Bluecats | 3.45 | 1.55 | |
Diamond Dogs | ![]() |
3.08 | -1.08 |
Kurt's The Tenderloins | ![]() |
2.41 | 0.59 |
Michael's GMOs | ![]() |
1.86 | 0.14 |
Standings through Week 8
The “UN” Lucky Ducks have the best record at 7-1 with a 1 game lead over the Kraken who look to be the only competition in the division. The Onionheads stay 2 games ahead despite their lose as the LGTE continue to lose steam and move to a .500 record. Meanwhile, the Ohio division is heating up as the Bluecats take a 1 game lead over the Slugs but see the Death Monarch’s and Sunday Winners catch up both improving to 3-5.
Standings Through Week 8 | ||||
Team | Wins | Losses | Win-Loss Streak | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Indiana | ||||
Nick's Unlucky Ducks | ![]() |
7 | 1 | |
Alex's Kraken | ![]() |
6 | 2 | |
Kurt's The Tenderloins | ![]() |
3 | 5 | |
Diamond Dogs | ![]() |
2 | 6 | |
Glum | ||||
Ruwes Onionheads | ![]() |
6 | 2 | |
Elliot's Last Good Tight End | ![]() |
4 | 4 | |
Scott's TITANS | ![]() |
3 | 5 | |
Michael's GMOs | ![]() |
2 | 6 | |
Ohio | ||||
Sam’s Bluecats | 5 | 3 | ||
Jeffs Slugs | 4 | 4 | ||
Cincinnati Death Monarchs | 3 | 5 | ||
Joe Sunderman's Sunday Winners | ![]() |
3 | 5 |
Best Ball Week 8 Update
The Bluecats continue to get the best out of their roster with only 48 points under optimal line up. The Slugs and Onionheads aren’t far behind and all three franchises can contribute their success thus far to good lineup decisions even if their best ball records are poor. On the other side of the spectrum we continue to see the Tenderloins and Unlucky Ducks leave a lot of points on the bench. The Unlucky Ducks would be the highest scoring team in a best ball format as opposed to being 4th in scoring given actual league scoring. This hasn’t stopped them from raking up an impressive league best record though.
franchise_id | KFL Team | logo | Points under Optimal | Total Score - Optimal Lineup | Actual Total Score | Best Ball Wins | Best Ball Loss |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Sam’s Bluecats | -48 | 685 | 637 | 2 | 6 | |
1 | Jeffs Slugs | -51 | 720 | 669 | 4 | 4 | |
2 | Ruwes Onionheads | ![]() |
-56 | 819 | 763 | 5 | 3 |
7 | Cincinnati Death Monarchs | -85 | 812 | 727 | 2 | 6 | |
11 | Michael's GMOs | ![]() |
-87 | 620 | 533 | 2 | 6 |
12 | Diamond Dogs | ![]() |
-103 | 710 | 607 | 2 | 6 |
9 | Alex's Kraken | ![]() |
-114 | 817 | 703 | 5 | 3 |
10 | Elliot's Last Good Tight End | ![]() |
-115 | 793 | 678 | 5 | 3 |
5 | Scott's TITANS | ![]() |
-147 | 803 | 656 | 4 | 4 |
3 | Joe Sunderman's Sunday Winners | ![]() |
-156 | 828 | 672 | 5 | 3 |
8 | Nick's Unlucky Ducks | ![]() |
-170 | 870 | 700 | 7 | 1 |
4 | Kurt's The Tenderloins | ![]() |
-193 | 747 | 554 | 4 | 4 |
Stud of the Week
The number two overall pick in the KFL this year is our stud of the week as Christain McCaffery is liberated from the shackles of a horrendous Carolina Panthers franchise. He did it all this week throwing, catching, running, and putting up 33 points, a full 20 over expectation. He may become second half MVP in this 49ers offense and is bringing life back to the Death Monarchs.
KFL Team | player | Team | actual score | projection | difference | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cincinnati Death Monarchs | Christian McCaffrey | ![]() |
SF | 33 | 13.2 | 19.8 |
Dud of the Week
Dud of the week this week goes to Jonathon Taylor. Definitely not the performance you want to see from the number 1 overall draft pick in the KFL this year. A measly five points means LGTE need to rely on Zach Wilson becoming Steve Young in short order with their Jet’s laden offense if they want a chance to compete for the title this year.
KFL Team | player | Team | actual score | projection | difference | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elliot's Last Good Tight End | Jonathan Taylor | ![]() |
IND | 5 | 13.8 | -8.8 |