Week 6 Recap: SWAB roll to 5 game winning streak
This week didn’t see much in the way of any unlucky losses, with the highest probability of win for a loser being Elliot’s Warriors at 0.53. The Slugs and SWAB put in a dominating performance overall, while Titan’s, Kraken, and the Sunday Winners all topped 90 points to bring home the win.
The one bit of luck exhibited this week was the Supermarket Studs facing the sputtering Bluecats. The Studs dropped a measly 80 points (0.42 win probability), but it was enough to pull out the win. The Bluecats with a wounded Russ Wilson looked like a shell of the team that started off the season with a 129 point win.
| Week 6 matchups | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Team | Win Probability | Score | Score | Win Probability | Losing Team | ||
| Jeffs Slugs |  |
0.92 | 115 | 84 | 0.49 |  |
Ruwes Onionheads |
| Scott's TITANS |  |
0.61 | 90 | 82 | 0.45 |  |
Kurt's The Tenderloins |
| Supermarket Studs |  |
0.41 | 80 | 72 | 0.27 |  |
Sam’s Bluecats |
| Cincinnati SWAB |  |
0.94 | 120 | 77 | 0.36 |  |
Nick's Unlucky Ducks |
| Alex's Kraken |  |
0.70 | 95 | 86 | 0.53 |  |
Elliot's Warriors |
| Joe Sunderman's Sunday Winners |  |
0.65 | 92 | 67 | 0.20 |  |
Michael's GMOs |
Expected Wins power rankings through week 6
The Sunday Winners continue to show dominance with 4.2 expected wins on the season, but the Kraken, SWAB, and Slugs are hot on their heels now with roughly 4 expected wins a piece. In the next tier, the Supermarket Studs are moving up the ranks with the Tenderloins at 3.7 expected wins a piece.
While the unlucky ducks should have about 2.4 more wins than they currently have given the quality of their team, they still sit last in their division and will find time is slipping to dig themselves out of this hole.
The Glum division is all in the bottom half of the power rankings with the Titans and Onionheads tied at 3.4 expected wins a piece and the Titan’s have a 1 game lead on the Onionheads, but it is surely anyone’s division.
Finally rounding out the basement is the GMOs, Warriors, and Bluecats. All three teams will need to get it going if they want to reverse their fortunes this season.
| Expected Wins through Week 6 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Team Name | Expected Wins | Wins Over Expected | |
| Joe Sunderman's Sunday Winners | |
4.2 | -1.2 |
| Alex's Kraken | |
4.0 | 0.0 |
| Cincinnati SWAB | |
3.9 | 1.1 |
| Jeffs Slugs | |
3.9 | 0.1 |
| Supermarket Studs | |
3.7 | 0.3 |
| Kurt's The Tenderloins | |
3.7 | -0.7 |
| Nick's Unlucky Ducks | |
3.4 | -2.4 |
| Ruwes Onionheads | |
3.4 | -0.4 |
| Scott's TITANS | |
3.4 | 0.6 |
| Michael's GMOs | |
2.7 | -0.7 |
| Sam’s Bluecats | |
2.5 | -0.5 |
| Elliot's Warriors | |
2.1 | -1.1 |
Standings through Week 6
The Warriors and Bluecats will both look to break a 4 game losing streak this upcoming week or their seasons will be essentially over. It is truly do or die at this point in the season.
Meanwhile, the SWAB look to continue their dominance and add another notch to their 5 game winning streak. Scott’s TITANS will look to create some separation from the Onionheads and keep their 4 game streak alive.
The division to watch over the next couple weeks will be the Indiana division. The Kraken and Studs both sit at 4-2 with the tenderloins hot on their heels at 3-3. Will we see some separation and get an idea of who is in the hunt for the division and who will be forced to chase the wild card?
| Standings Through Week 6 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wins | Losses | Win-Loss Streak | |
| Indiana | ||||
| Alex's Kraken | |
4 | 2 | |
| Kurt's The Tenderloins | |
3 | 3 | |
| Nick's Unlucky Ducks | |
1 | 5 | |
| Supermarket Studs | |
4 | 2 | |
| Ohio | ||||
| Cincinnati SWAB | |
5 | 1 | |
| Jeffs Slugs | |
4 | 2 | |
| Joe Sunderman's Sunday Winners | |
3 | 3 | |
| Sam’s Bluecats | |
2 | 4 | |
| Glum | ||||
| Elliot's Warriors | |
1 | 5 | |
| Michael's GMOs | |
2 | 4 | |
| Ruwes Onionheads | |
3 | 3 | |
| Scott's TITANS | |
4 | 2 | |